What Is ARV?
After-Repair Value is the single most important number in a flip or BRRRR. Get it right and the deal works; get it wrong and everything downstream breaks.
ARV (After-Repair Value)is what a property will be worth once it's fully renovated — its retail market value in fixed-up condition. It is notwhat you pay, and it's not today's as-is value. It's the finish-line number that every other number in the deal is measured against.
Why ARV controls the whole deal
- ●Your offer: investors back into a maximum purchase price from ARV (see the 70% rule below).
- ●Your rehab budget: spending more than the market rewards is wasted money — ARV tells you how far to go.
- ●Your financing: hard-money and refinance lenders size loans against ARV (e.g., 70% of ARV).
- ●Your exit: flip resale price and BRRRR refinance amount both depend on hitting ARV.
How to estimate ARV with comps
ARV is built from comparable sales (“comps”) — recently sold properties similar to yours, in fixed-up condition. Pull comps that are:
- ●Recent — sold within the last 3–6 months.
- ●Close — ideally within ~0.5–1 mile, same neighborhood, no major dividing lines (highways, school zones).
- ●Similar — comparable square footage (within ~20%), same bed/bath count, similar age, lot, and style.
- ●Sold, not listed — actual closed prices, not asking prices (sellers ask for anything).
Take the price-per-square-foot of the best comps, apply it to your subject's square footage, and adjust for differences (an extra bath, a garage, a bigger lot). The result is your ARV estimate.
The 70% Rule
Common ARV mistakes
- ●Using active listings or pending sales instead of closed comps.
- ●Reaching for comps from a nicer (or worse) neighborhood to justify a number you want.
- ●Ignoring condition — comparing your future rehab to comps that weren't actually renovated.
- ●Over-improving past the neighborhood ceiling: a $400k finish in a $250k area returns nothing.
- ●Falling in love with the deal and inflating ARV to make the math work.
Key takeaways
- ✓ARV is the renovated retail value — the finish-line number, not what you pay.
- ✓It drives your offer, rehab budget, financing, and exit all at once.
- ✓Build ARV from recent, nearby, similar, SOLD comps — adjusted for differences.
- ✓The 70% rule (ARV × 0.70 − rehab) is a quick flip screen, not a hard law.
- ✓Don't inflate ARV to save a deal, and don't over-improve past the neighborhood ceiling.
Educational information only — not legal, tax, or financial advice. Real estate involves risk; verify numbers and consult licensed professionals before making decisions.
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